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AnalysisOpinion

When Does the US Become a Net Importer of Tokens?

From Tomasz Tunguz: US AI demand grows from 66gw in 2027 while tokens per watt compound 2.9x a year, so the grid only binds if token demand outruns efficiency. Break-even real token growth is ~2.5x a year with no cancellations.

Source
Tomasz Tunguz (tomtunguz.com)
Published
First seen here
Edition
Monday, November 9, 2026, ranked 35
Status
Commentary or analysis: someone’s view, not a reported fact.
Why it’s here
Tom Tunguz on AI power demand versus efficiency.
Topics
AI, Infrastructure, Venture capital
When Does the US Become a Net Importer of Tokens? · Keeping Up with Silicon Valley